Take a wager
or create your own →Will people walk on the Moon before 2028?
A crewed landing with astronauts on the lunar surface, from any nation.
Resolves Jan 1, 2028
Will anyone run a two-hour marathon?
A men's marathon under 2:00:00, ratified by World Athletics, before 2028.
Resolves Jan 15, 2028
Will driverless robotaxis reach five US cities?
One operator offering paid rides with nobody behind the wheel, in five metro areas, by the end of 2026.
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 in 2026?
At least one daily close above $150,000 on Coinbase during 2026.
Resolves Jan 2, 2027
Will Apple sell a foldable this year?
A foldable-screen Apple device you can order from Apple before 2027.
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
As ranked by NASA's global temperature analysis, published in early 2027.
Resolves Feb 15, 2027
Will anyone sell a solid-state battery car?
A production car with an all-solid-state pack, on sale to the public before 2028.
Resolves Jan 1, 2028
Will December inflation come in under 2.5%?
The first CPI release for December 2026, measured year over year.
Resolves Jan 20, 2027
Will Starship land both stages on one flight?
Booster and ship both recovered for reuse on the same mission, before 2027.
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Will an AI model score 90% on SWE-bench?
Any public model, on SWE-bench Verified, by the end of June 2027.
Resolves Jun 30, 2027