← WagersTake the No side
Will an AI model score 90% on SWE-bench?
By 30 June 2027, a publicly available model from any lab will post a verified score of at least 90% on SWE-bench Verified.
Yes
At least one model clears 90%.
Noemic
No
Nothing public clears 90% by then.
Open
- Resolves
- June 30, 2027 at 11:59 PM UTC
- Evidence
- The official SWE-bench leaderboard and the lab's own published evaluation.
- Decision
- Count only scores on SWE-bench Verified reported by the benchmark maintainers or reproduced by them. The model must be usable by the public through an API or product on the resolution date.
- Void
- Void if the benchmark is retired or materially changed before the resolution date.
- Resolver
- Objective Source
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