Will December inflation come in under 2.5%?

The Bureau of Labor Statistics' first release of December 2026 CPI-U, all items, will show year-over-year inflation below 2.5%.

Yes

Below 2.5%.

Noemic

2.5% or higher.

Open

Resolves: January 20, 2027 at 11:59 PM UTC
Evidence: The Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI release for December 2026.
Decision: Use the first published, unrevised year-over-year figure for CPI-U all items, not seasonally adjusted, rounded to one decimal.
Void: Void if the release is delayed past the resolution date.
Resolver: Objective Source

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